Scott Norwood

Scott Norwood
Wide Right started it all.

Saturday, February 4, 2017

Super Duper Bowl LI

Here it is, the last pick of this NFL season. Jason calls it 30-26 for his beloved Falcons, while I got the Patriots 38-21.

Fav Spread Dog Final Dre Jay
NE (16-2) 3    Atl (13-5) Houston, TX NE Atl
128.5 116.4

All of our thoughts and observations about the Big Game, describing how we think the game arrives at our predicted outcomes, can be heard here:

Super Duper Bowl LI

Friday, January 20, 2017

Conf. Finals '17

For these two games under our point system for our handicapping contest, there are four points each for the taking, and Jay being down 8.1 points to me has to go against me for at least one of the games in order to stay alive.  Jason has made his call for which game to disagree with me on Championship Sunday.  Despite making the drive to Atlanta to cheer on his Falcons, and despite picking Atlanta to win and cover on the podcast, he's going to back the Pack and hope that I choke on it.  He'd rather do that than take the Steelers over a Patriots team that just got beat around by Houston and still managed to cover a 15-point spread.  Can't argue with him on that call.  If Green Bay covers, it's all on the line for us in the Super Bowl, making me the world's biggest Matty Ice backer.  Here are our picks for the conference finals:

Fav Spread Dog Final Dre Jay
ATL (12-5) 5    GB (12-6) Atl GB
NE (15-2) 6    Pit (13-5) NE NE
120.5 112.4

All of our thoughts and observations, including Jason providing details of the spontaneous decision to go to the Packers-Falcons battle, can be heard here:

NFL Divisional Round '17 Recap + Conf. Finals 2017

Saturday, January 14, 2017

Conf. Semis '17

Jason has decided to go against three of my four picks this week, so the Divisional Round is his Waterloo.  As he says on the podcast, though, these are all his original picks before he knew what mine were, and he decided not to switch any of his choices based on my selections.  So he's going down with his true feelings about each game, which is the honest way to go.  And if he loses all three picks, he will indeed go down and lose the season handicapping contest to me.  Here are our picks for the twin twi-night doubleheader weekend:

Fav Spread Dog Final Dre Jay
ATL (11-5) Sea (11-5-1) Atl Sea
Sat. Nite
NE (14-2) 15    Hou (10-7) Hou NE
DAL (13-3) GB (11-6) GB GB
Sun. Nite
KC (12-4) Pit (12-5) KC Pit
114.5 103.4

All of our thoughts and observations, including an aftershow discussing the deevolution of sports "debate," can be heard here:

NFL Wild Card '17 Recap + Divisional Round 2017

Saturday, January 7, 2017

NFL Wild Card '17

Playoff time is here!  Jason threw a curve to start this year's playoff picks by having me go first thinking he would challenge a few of my selections, but he chose to stick to his convictions and agree with each and every pick.  I certainly wasn't expecting that, not with the big lead in playoff points with which I start.  And how did we accumulate playoff points, you may ask?  Here's the answer: Take our season percentages, multiply by 200, and that's the number of points we each start with.  From there, it's 2 points for each Wild Card win, 3 points in the Conference Semis, 4 points in the Conf. Finals, and a big 5 points for picking the Super Bowl correctly.  Jason starts with an extra point for picking the most locks this season, but I still have a large advantage:

               Dre                              Jay
Season  137-111-8                  112-126-8
                   .552                            .492
                   x200                             x200
                 =110.5                            =98.4
Lock Bonus+0             +1
110.5         99.4

And now our Wild Card picks, where we sing Kumbaya and agree on every game:

Fav Spread Dog Final Dre Jay
HOU (9-7) 4    Oak (12-4) Hou Hou
Sat. Nite
SEA (10-5-1) 8    Det (9-7) Sea Sea
PIT (11-5) 10½ Mia (10-6) Mia Mia
GB (10-6) 5    NYG (11-5) NY NY

All of our thoughts and observations, including our final score picks and X-factors, can be heard here:

NFL 2016 Week 17 Recap + Wild Card 2017

Monday, January 2, 2017

2016-17 What I Learned About Each Team In One Sentence

Cowboys--Any personnel decisions and injuries can be overcome with a punishing and athletic offensive line setting the tone every single game.
Eagles--Carson Wentz and his cool demeanor will be disappointed every year until his front office provides him with weapons.
Giants--Stopping Odell Beckham is the key to beating the G-Men because the HOF quarterback isn't good enough to make the defense adjust.
Redskins--They will have to pay through the nose for Kirk Cousins whether he can take them past the Wild Card round or not.
Bears--There's turmoil in the front office and coaches' rooms, and Jay Cutler's time has passed, so the immediate future seems putrid.
Lions--Matt Stafford making a habit of late comebacks in his first year sans Megatron was a neat parlor trick to cover up the running and defensive deficiencies.
Packers--When Aaron Rodgers is on, they can still beat anybody.
Vikings--A sparkling start in a new QB era dissolved into mutiny and the start of a possible regime failure.
Falcons--One of the most explosive offenses in recent history can lead to greatness if the young and fast defense can complement it in the postseason.
Panthers--How legit was Cam Newton and the NFC champions if this is the effort they turn in the very next year?
Saints--Drew Brees and Sean Payton's offense keeps setting records, and the defense keeps sabotaging them.
Buccaneers--Sparks of excellence from Jameis Winston and the defense makes Tampa's future full of hope, but Mike Evans can't be the only playmaker on offense.
Cardinals--A run of top notch football appeared to have screeched to a halt even as David Johnson established himself as a game-changer.
Rams--Jeff Fisher made a joke of the franchise as much with his strange behavior and decisions as with his bad coaching.
49ers--Having two coaches two years in a row be assumed to be one-and-done while the season is in progress is unprecedented and evidence of an organization that needs a complete reboot.
Seahawks--They continue to be a fascinating observation in how to let a team police its own acts, but the offensive line looks to be the Achilles heel.
Bills--Firing Rex Ryan seemed inevitable, but it remains to be seen whether Buffalo will hire someone who will provide stability to make the Bills play less inconsistently.
Dolphins--The season looked to be headed for disappointment until Jay Ajayi literally took the ball and ran with it all the way to the playoffs, overcoming the uninspiring Ryan Tannehill.
Patriots--If the rest of the NFL didn't know they were in trouble before the season, starting 3-0 with Janeane Garofalo and Jack Brisket at QB sure sent a signal.
Jets--Beginning with dawdling before deciding on Ryan Fitzpatrick as QB, the season had ominous undertones increasing every week, and the fallout may begin the descent of coach Todd Bowles.
Ravens--They kept playing for coach John Harbaugh, but lack of skill players on offense/consistency from Joe Flacco spoiled a potential division crown.
Bengals--A late playoff push was ruined by A.J. Green's injury, providing an excuse for anyone wanting to grant one to Cincy and coach Marvin Lewis.
Browns--A stunning knack of finding a loss every week masked real potential in the run game and in playmaker Terrelle Pryor.
Steelers--Felt like the high-powered offense picked and chose its spots in order to conserve instead of always trying to light up the scoreboard, which may give Pittsburgh a playoff boost.
Texans--Godawful QB play from $72M man Brock Osweiler somehow couldn't keep Houston from the AFC North title again, showing how resilient the D was after losing J.J. Watt.
Colts--It's up to GM Ryan Grigson to put talent around Andrew Luck or else risk wasting his talents for the foreseeable future.
Jaguars--In some ways the saddest franchise in football because there's no apparent bright light on the horizon.
Titans--An aggressive and athletic run-blocking O-line set the pace, and Marcus Mariota showed potential as a game-managing QB with home run tendencies.
Broncos--Trevor Siemian flashed, mostly late in comeback mode, but having no run attack as balance doomed the defending champs.
Chiefs--Adding Tyreek Hill to an offense predicated on scheme gives Andy Reid's Chiefs a new dimension that makes them dangerous in the postseason.
Raiders--Gambling coach Jack Del Rio stole some early wins as his team and star QB Derek Carr gained confidence and identity, but Carr's broken leg halted dreams of a lengthy playoff run before they even began.
Chargers--If the ageless Philip Rivers can keep producing, and their defense led by the football robot Joey Bosa can keep improving, their new coach and city might have a playoff contender soon.

Saturday, December 31, 2016

2016 Week #17

We had a marathon two-hour live show this week and a little bit of an aftershow, so Jason and I gave you your money's worth of our free podcast.  And we were once again joined by a coin to help pick games for the unpredictable Week 17.  At least we got the coin to join with us a bunch of times towards the end, because it was looking like the coin wanted to go against our picks when we were agreeing, which is always a bad sign.  Here are the picks for Week 17:

Fav Spread Dog Final Dre Jay Coin
MIN (7-8) Chi (3-12) Chi Chi Min
PIT (10-5) 6    Cle (1-14) Cle Pit Pit
IND (7-8) Jack (3-12) Jack Ind Ind
PHI (6-9) Dal (13-2) Phi Dal Dal
Buf (7-8) NYJ (4-11) Buf NY Buf
CIN (5-9-1) 1    Bal (8-7) Bal Bal Bal
NE (13-2) MIA (10-5) Mia Mia NE
TB (8-7) 4    Car (6-9) TB TB TB
TENN (8-7) 3    Hou (9-6) Tenn Hou Hou
Sea (9-5-1) 10    SF (2-13) Sea Sea SF
ATL (10-5) 7    NO (7-8) NO NO NO
Ariz (6-8-1) LA (4-11) Ariz Ariz Ariz
DEN (8-7) Oak (12-3) Oak Den Oak
WASH (8-6-1) NYG (10-5) Wash Wash NY
KC (11-4) SD (5-10) KC KC KC
Sun. Nite
GB (9-6) 3    DET (9-6) Det Det GB
Week 16 7-9 9-7
0.438 0.563
Season 130-102-8 117-115-8
0.560 0.504
Lock Total 7 11

All of our thoughts and observations can be heard here:

NFL 2016 Week #17

Saturday, December 24, 2016

2016 Week #16

Jay and I had a ball remembering old school days on our podcast this week, but before that, we went head-to-head on seven more Saturday picks for NFL Week 16.  Remember kids, next week we try our hand against a coin because Week 17 is so damn random.  We wish everyone a Merry Christmas and hope you enjoy your family as well as your football, though not always at the same time because some of them don't care for that football shit.  You know who they are.  Now, our picks:

Fav Spread Dog Final Dre Jay
Thu. Nite
NYG (10-4) PHI (5-9) Phi 24-19 Phi NY
GB (8-6) 7    Min (7-7) GB GB
Atl (9-5) 3    CAR (6-8) Car Atl
SD (5-9) 4    CLE (0-14) SD Cle
Tenn (8-6) 5    JACK (2-12) Tenn Tenn
NE (12-2) 17    NYJ (4-10) NY NY
BUF (7-7) Mia (9-5) Buf Mia
Wash (7-6-1) 3    CHI (3-11) Wash Chi
OAK (11-3) Ind (7-7) Oak Oak
SEA (9-4-1) 9    Ariz (5-8-1) Sea Ariz
NO (6-8) TB (8-6) TB NO
LA (4-10) SF (1-13) LA LA
Sat. Nite
HOU (8-6) 1    Cin (5-8-1) Hou Cin
PIT (9-5) Bal (8-6) Bal Bal
Sun. Nite
KC (10-4) 3    Den (8-6) KC KC
Mon. Nite
DAL (12-2) Det (9-5) Det Det
Week 15 7-9 8-8
0.438 0.500
Season 123-93-8 108-108-8
0.569 0.500
Lock Total 6 10
All of our thoughts and observations, including our stances on the doneness of red meat, can be heard here:

NFL 2016 Week #16