Scott Norwood

Scott Norwood
Wide Right started it all.

Friday, January 22, 2016

Conf. Finals '16

I for one am thrilled to see the top two seeds from both conferences meet up for the conference titles this coming Sunday.  You want to see the best vs. the best, and this Super Bowl will feature two of the best in football no matter what matchup occurs.  As far as Jason and I picking for the season, it comes down to the game in Charlotte.  If the Panthers win by 3 or more, I clinch the season.  If not, Jason survives and we do battle a couple of weeks from now to decide it all.  Here are our Championship Sunday picks:

Fav Spread Dog Final Dre Jay
NE (13-4) 3    DEN (13-4) NE NE
CAR (16-1) 3    Ariz (14-3) Car Ariz


All of our picks and observations, including my story of the rudest I've ever been treated by a stranger, can be heard here:

NFL Divisional Round '16 Recap + Conference Finals 2016

Saturday, January 16, 2016

NFL Conf. Semis '16

In between cat naps at my work desk as I recovered from Vegas, I managed to figure out my picks for the divisional round, and so did Jay as he recovered from our adventure as well.  We agree on three of the four games, as I side with the home favorite in every matchup and Jason trusts in the pedigree of a recent Super Bowl champion.  My thin two-point lead under our playoff system could be erased, or I could extend and force Jay to pick against me at least once next week.  Here are our picks for the conference semifinals:

Fav Spread Dog Final Dre Jay
Saturday
NE (12-4) 5    KC (12-5) NE NE
Sat. Nite
ARIZ (13-3) GB (11-6) Ariz Ariz
Sunday
CAR (15-1) Sea (11-6) Car Sea
DEN (12-4) Pit (11-6) Den Den


All of our thoughts and observations, including an aftershow chronicling our encounter with authentic Vegas escorts (sorta) can be heard here:

NFL Wild Card '16 Recap + Divisional Round 2016

Saturday, January 9, 2016

NFL Wild Card '16

Once again it's playoff time in the National Football League, starting with Wild Card Weekend.  As always, a primer on our playoff scoring system:  Take our season percentages, multiply by 200, and that's the number of points we each start with.  From there, it's 2 points for each Wild Card win, 3 points in the Conference Semis, 4 points in the Conf. Finals, and a big 5 points for picking the Super Bowl correctly.  Jason has an advantage to start this year, partially thanks to his extra point for picking the most locks correctly:

                Dre                              Jay
Season  134-116-6                  135-115-6
                   .536                             .540
                   x200                             x200
                 =107.2                            =108
Lock Bonus +0             +1
107.2           109


And now our Wild Card picks, which see us doing battle in both of the Saturday night contests:

Fav Spread Dog Final Dre Jay
Saturday
KC (11-5) 3    HOU (9-7) KC Hou
Sat. Nite
Pit (10-6) 3    CIN (12-4) Cin Pit
Sunday
Sea (10-6) 5    MIN (11-5) Sea Sea
WASH (9-7) 1    GB (10-6) Wash Wash


All of our thoughts and observations, including an aftershow where Jason describes how he found out he and his wife are joining me and my wife in Las Vegas next week, can be heard here:

NFL 2015 Week 17 Recap + Wild Card 2016

Wednesday, January 6, 2016

2015-16 What I Learned About Each Team In One Sentence

Cowboys--The general manager is still a dingus, yet they had a chance at contention if Tony Romo and Dez Bryant could have stayed on the field.
Eagles--Maddeningly inconsistent, they cemented the end of the Chip Kelly Era by displaying his shortcomings as a personnel guy more than as a football coach.
Giants--Never out of a game when Odell Beckham is active, they disappointed those who expected Super Bowl contenders every year, suggesting Tom Coughlin was ultimately a victim of success.
Redskins--Jay Gruden bought himself some time with Kirk Cousins' unexpected season, but the team is still not that good and he still seems better fit for assistant coaching duties.
Bears--A stunning run of competent football midway through the season shone a light on John Fox and his coaching staff, severe lack of defensive talent aside.
Lions--They were not nearly as bad as they looked for the first two months, but it doesn't excuse Jim Caldwell's squad tanking at 1-7 like that.
Packers--All at once, Aaron Rodgers started looking like he's lost it and all of his targets looked incompetent, resulting in a painful 2nd half of the season.
Vikings--A serious team with a serious leader in Mike Zimmer made some serious noise, especially late in the season when QB Teddy Bridgewater seemed to mature.
Falcons--Dan Quinn brought a new attitude, a 5-0 start raised hopes, then defense and Matty Ice lapses resulted in a Same Ol' Falcons-type season.
Panthers--As solid (and full of themselves) as they were the first half of the year, Ted Ginn's emergence as a deep threat turned Mike Shula's offense into a dynamo and Cam Newton into the league MVP.
Saints--The slow crumbling of a championship franchise continued as the defense found all kinds of ways to shit the field every week.
Buccaneers--If Lovie Smith can stop acquiring old Bears for his Tampa-2 defense and shore that end up, Jameis Winston showed enough flashes for the Bucs to compete someday soon.
Cardinals--At times they looked like the most complete team in football, featuring a fearless Carson Palmer-led offense and a dizzyingly aggressive blitzing defense.
Rams--Jeff Fisher has a knack for getting his group up for division challenges, but they're going nowhere with those middling quarterbacks and that lackluster passing attack.
49ers--A disaster of a franchise who lost major talent in the offseason and never had a chance, particularly with an uninspiring choice at head coach.
Seahawks--Spent the first half of the season as if they had a Super Bowl hangover, then curiously went crazy on offense once Jimmy Graham and Marshawn Lynch got injured.
Bills--Can't contend in the same division as Tom Brady if Rex Ryan is the fraud at Defensive Genius that he appears to be, though the offense is potentially dangerous.
Dolphins--The setback in QB Ryan Tannehill's development and the confounding choices for the coaching staff threaten to plummet Miami into a black hole for a very long time.
Patriots--Appeared set for another title run and maybe even another perfect regular season until injuries derailed them, but Brady and Belichick are very capable of figuring it out in the playoffs.
Jets--Tremendous first year for Todd Bowles as he kept the defense at a quality level while letting Chan Gailey get way more out of Ryan Fitzpatrick than imaginable.
Ravens--Fought like hell all year even as their best players dropped one by one and their playoff hopes waned early in the season.
Bengals--A shame that Andy Dalton got hurt late in what was by far his best season, probably crippling the title chances of a damn good squad.
Browns--Rivaling Washington as the biggest joke in the NFL, Cleveland weaved some crappy football in between mind-boggling decisions to keep trusting the maturity and resilience of Johnny Manziel.
Steelers--The heights of what Ben Roethlisberger can do with his wide receivers was always tempered with the valleys of what a secondary in need of remodeling can allow.
Texans--The first Super Bowl-era team to make the playoffs using four different starting QBs, they thrived on two all-world stars in J.J. Watt and DeAndre Hopkins and almost nothing else.
Colts--They have to be worried about the near future as the defense continued to struggle and the offense looked out-of-sorts with star QB Andrew Luck and down-the-toilet without him.
Jaguars--Jacksonville's first competent offense in years suggests that they can finally stop sweating upgrades there this coming offseason and start working on finding defensive backs and a pass rush.
Titans--Firing coach Ken Whisenhunt halfway through his first year with a very high draft pick at QB says the organization ain't at all organized.
Broncos--Appeared to get caught trying to squeeze one more year out of Peyton Manning, but Wade Phillips's defense rescued the team consistently and makes them fearsome in the playoffs.
Chiefs--Andy Reid's finest hour molding an offense out of scraps, they're the first 1-5 team to ever make the playoffs and they beat the mediocre competition in front of them, which is all one can ask.
Raiders--Looked like a contender for a while with the Derek-Carr-to-Amari-Cooper connection making waves, and will possibly grow into consistency under Jack Del Rio in the next few years.
Chargers--Continue to waste Philip Rivers's career with not enough help in the running game and not enough talent on the defensive side.

Saturday, January 2, 2016

2015 Week #17

Another regular season winds down tomorrow in the NFL, and we have our last picks for a full week of action before the playoffs start.  We'll be looking to break our regular season tie as we go head-to-head on seven games.  Our guest picker Coin returns to once again point out the randomness of Week 17, where the flip of a coin can be a better predictor than any human analysis.  Here's Week 17:

Fav Spread Dog Final Dre Jay Coin
NYJ (10-5) 3    BUF (7-8) Buf Buf Buf
CIN (11-4) 10    Bal (5-10) Cin Bal Bal
ATL (8-7) NO (6-9) Atl NO NO
Pit (9-6) 11    CLE (3-12) Pit Pit Pit
HOU (8-7) Jack (5-10) Jack Jack Jack
Det (6-9) 1    CHI (6-9) Det Chi Chi
NYG (6-9) Phi (6-9) NY NY Phi
DAL (4-11) 4    Wash (8-7) Wash Dal Wash
NE (12-3) 10    MIA (5-10) NE Mia Mia
StL (7-8) SF (4-11) SF SF SF
KC (10-5) Oak (7-8) Oak KC KC
DEN (11-4) 10    SD (4-11) SD SD Den
ARIZ (13-2) Sea (9-6) Sea Sea Ariz
CAR (14-1) 10½ TB (6-9) TB Car TB
IND (7-8) Off Tenn (3-12) Tenn Tenn Ind
Sun. Nite
GB (10-5) 3    Min (10-5) GB GB Min


All of our thoughts and observations, including the forgotten Titans-Colts pick and more football chatter in the aftershow, can be heard here:

NFL 2015 Week #17