2019 Week #4

Jason and I had our pick show Friday night this week since I would be occupied on Saturday.  We're both hovering around .500 for the season, but it feels like we're getting beaten up because of all the QB changes and uncertainty.  One thing a handicapper hates is change and uncertainty, but all we can do is deal with it and surge forward.  Hey, kinda like life.  On to the picks for NFL Week 4, where Jay and I go heads-up on a whopping eight games:

Fav	Spread	Dog	Final		Dre	Jay
	Thu. Nite
GB (3-0)	4	Phi (1-2)	Phi 34-27		Phi	GB
	Sunday
ATL (1-2)	4	Tenn (1-2)			Atl	Tenn
BAL (2-1)	7	Cle (1-2)			Bal	Cle
IND (2-1)	7	Oak (1-2)			Oak	Oak
NE (3-0)	7½	BUF (3-0)			NE	NE
NYG (1-2)	3	Wash (0-3)			Wash	Wash
HOU (2-1)	4	Car (1-2)			Hou	Hou
KC (3-0)	6½	DET (2-0-1)			KC	Det
LAC (1-2)	14	MIA (0-3)			LA	Mia
Sea (2-1)	5	ARIZ (0-2-1)			Sea	Sea
LAR (3-0)	9	TB (1-2)			TB	LA
CHI (2-1)	1½	Min (2-1)			Min	Chi
DEN (0-3)	3	Jack (1-2)			Den	Jack
	Sun. Nite
Dal (3-0)	2½	NO (2-1)			Dal	NO
	Mon. Nite
PIT (0-3)	3½	Cin (0-3)			Cin	Cin
The New York Jets and San Francisco are off.
				Week 3	8-8	7-9
					0.500	0.438
				Season	23-24-1	22-25-1
					0.489	0.468
				Lock Total	1	0

All of our thoughts and observations can be heard here:

NFL 2019 Week #4: The Kids Are (Mostly) Alright

2019 Week #3

Week 2's Overreaction Theatre turned into a horror show in the NFL as a multitude of QBs got hurt or benched, setting up a Week 3 full of first-time starters and uncertainty. Jay and I broke it down as best we could on our football party podcast which featured a fun call from Naj in Atlanta, always a good guest.  I talked myself out of a Lock of the Week (hence the double star on Dallas), and if they cover and my actual Lock doesn't, prepare for holy hell out of me next show.  Here is the Week 3 slate of picks, where Jay and I face off on seven matchups:

Fav	Spread	Dog	Final		Dre	Jay
	Thu. Nite
Tenn (1-1)	1½	JACK (0-2)	Jack 20-7		Jack	Jack
	Sunday
GB (2-0)	7½	Den (0-2)			Den	Den
IND (1-1)	1½	Atl (1-1)			Atl	Ind
MIN (1-1)	8	Oak (1-1)			Oak	Oak
PHI (1-1)	4½	Det (1-0-1)			Phi	Phi
NE (2-0)	21	NYJ (0-2)			NY	NE
BUF (2-0)	6	Cin (0-2)			Buf	Cin
KC (2-0)	5½	Bal (2-0)			Bal	KC
DAL (2-0)	22½	Mia (0-2)			Dal**	Mia
ARIZ (0-1-1)	2½	Car (0-2)			Car	Ariz
TB (1-1)	6	NYG (0-2)			TB	NY
SEA (2-0)	5	NO (1-1)			Sea	Sea
SF (2-0)	6½	Pit (0-2)			SF	SF
LAC (1-1)	3	Hou (1-1)			Hou	Hou
	Sun. Nite
LAR (2-0)	3½	CLE (1-1)			LA	LA
	Mon. Nite
Chi (1-1)	4	WASH (0-2)			Chi	Chi
				Week 2	8-7-1	9-6-1
					0.533	0.600
				Season	15-16-1	15-16-1
					0.484	0.484
				Lock Total	1	0

All of our thoughts and conversations can be heard here:

2019 NFL Week #3: NFLQBRIP

2019 Week #2

Our first two-hour recap and pick show is in the books.  The weekly Football Party format leaves one drained afterwards, so my words here will be much briefer than normal, which is probably good.  Without further adieu, on to our Week 2 picks, which sees Jay and I against each other on four games, not counting my Thursday night win:

Fav	Spread	Dog	Final		Dre	Jay
	Thu. Nite
CAR (0-1)	7	TB (0-1)	TB 20-14		TB	Car
	Sunday
GB (1-0)	2½	Min (1-0)			GB	GB
PIT (0-1)	3½	Sea (1-0)			Pit	Pit
HOU (0-1)	9	Jack (0-1)			Hou	Jack
CIN (0-1)	1	SF (1-0)			Cin	Cin
BAL (1-0)	13	Ariz (0-0-1)			Bal	Bal
Buf (1-0)	2	NYG (0-1)			Buf	Buf
Dal (1-0)	5	WASH (0-1)			Wash	Dal
TENN (1-0)	3½	Ind (0-1)			Ind	Tenn
NE (1-0)	19	MIA (0-1)			Mia	NE
LAC (1-0)	1½	DET (0-0-1)			LA	LA
KC (1-0)	7½	OAK (1-0)			KC	KC
LAR (1-0)	2	NO (1-0)			LA	LA
Chi (0-1)	2	DEN (0-1)			Chi	Chi
	Sun. Nite
Phi (1-0)	1	ATL (0-1)			Atl	Atl
	Mon. Nite
Cle (0-1)	6½	NYJ (0-1)			Cle	Cle
				Week 1	7-9	6-10
					0.438	0.375
				Lock Total	1	0

All of our thoughts and observations can be heard here:

NFL 2019 Week #2: What Can Brown Do To You?

2019 Week #1

Our first Football Party podcast went well as Jason and I expanded our pick show to 90 minutes, and in the weeks following, each show will go two hours making picks and also catching up on the NFL news of the week.  We open up this season head-to-head on five games, but we're in agreement on each other's Lock pick of the week.  An additional resource to keep up on our picks is the site nflpickwatch.com, where anyone can sign up and compete for what they claim is a $1,000 prize for the season.  As the winner of last year's fan ATS contest who didn't get diddly poo, I'm skeptical.  But time will tell.  On to our picks:

Fav	Spread	Dog	Final		Dre	Jay
	Thu. Nite
CHI	3	GB	GB 10-3		Chi	Chi
	Sunday
MIN	3½	Atl			Min	Atl
LAR	1	CAR			Car	Car
CLE	5½	Tenn			Cle	Cle
KC	3½	JACK			KC	Jack
PHI	10½	Wash			Phi	Phi
NYJ	2½	Buf			Buf	Buf
Bal	7	MIA			Bal	Bal
SEA	10	Cin			Sea	Sea
LAC	6½	Ind			LA	LA
TB	1	SF			TB	SF
DAL	7½	NYG			NY	Dal
Det	2½	ARIZ			Det	Det
	Sun. Nite
NE	5½	Pit			NE	Pit
	Mon. Nite
NO	6½	Hou			Hou	Hou
Den	2	OAK			Oak	Oak

All of our picks and observations can be heard here:

NFL 2019 Week #1: UnLucky Horseshoe