2018 Week #17

The final week of the NFL regular season traditionally gives some very unusual results, so as you know if you're a regular reader of this blog, Jason and I flip a coin for each and every pick to see if we can do better than a random coin flip.  Most of the time, we don't.  I added an extra element of randomness this year.  Thanks to nflpickwatch.com, I can see which teams I pick well and which teams I'm the worst at picking, and I found a couple of matchups this week between teams that I'm under .500 picking both squads.  So since I don't know what I'm picking with those teams anyway, and this is the extra-screwy Week 17, I just picked the opposite of what I actually like for those games.  I have those picks italicized for full disclosure.  And I'm winning the fan challenge by two games with one week to go, so if those two games are the ones I lose, I have no one to blame but myself.  Here are our official Week 17 picks, where Jay and I go head-to-head on six games:

Fav	Spread	Dog	Final		Dre	Jay	Coin
GB (6-8-1)	7½	Det (5-10)			GB	GB	GB
NO (13-2)	7	Car (6-9)			Car	NO	NO
Atl (6-9)	2	TB (5-10)			Atl	TB	Atl
HOU (10-5)	7	Jack (5-10)			Hou	Hou	Jack
NE (10-5)	14	NYJ (4-11)			NY	NE	NE
BUF (5-10)	5½	Mia (7-8)			Buf	Buf	Mia
NYG (5-10)	6	Dal (9-6)			NY	NY	Dal
LAC (11-4)	6	DEN (6-9)			LA	LA	LA
SEA (9-6)	13½	Ariz (3-12)			Sea	Sea	Sea
MIN (8-6-1)	5½	Chi (11-4)			Min	Chi	Chi
LAR (12-3)	10½	SF (4-11)			SF	LA	LA
BAL (9-6)	6½	Cle (7-7-1)			Bal	Bal	Bal
PIT (8-6-1)	14½	Cin (6-9)			Cin	Cin	Pit
Phi (8-7)	7½	WASH (7-8)			Phi	Phi	Phi
KC (11-4)	14½	Oak (4-11)			KC	Oak	Oak
	Sun. Nite
Ind (9-6)	3	TENN (9-6)			Ind	Ind	Tenn
				Week 16	7-9	7-9
					0.438	0.438
				Season	132-103-5	114-121-5
					0.562	0.485
				Lock Total	9	9

All of our thoughts and observations can be heard here:

NFL 2018 Week #17

2018 Week #16

Well, we had our "football party" where we get into the previous week's action before picking the upcoming games, just like we do in the playoffs.  That's a lot of talking without a break, so it was no surprise that Jason and I were all partied out at the end of those two hours.  But we got our talking points in and raised each other's eyebrows with some of our observations.  This will be a weekend without football for me, because my wife and I will be off on a Christmas cruise to Mexico.  I'm very much looking forward to being off the grid and not finding out about the picks until I'm back in America next Thursday.  Hopefully I will have avoided some dreadful 2-14 week or something.  Here are our selections for Week 16, which has us battling on eight picks:

Fav	Spread	Dog	Final		Dre	Jay
	Saturday
TENN (8-6)	10½	Wash (7-7)			Tenn	Tenn
	Sat. Nite
LAC (11-3)	4½	Bal (8-6)			LA	LA
	Sunday
CLE (6-7-1)	10	Cin (6-8)			Cle	Cin
DAL (8-6)	7½	TB (5-9)			Dal	Dal
Min (7-6-1)	6	DET (5-9)			Min	Det
IND (8-6)	10	NYG (5-9)			NY	Ind
MIA (7-7)	4	Jack (4-10)			Mia	Mia
NE (9-5)	13½	Buf (5-9)			Buf	NE
GB (5-8-1)	3	NYJ (4-10)			GB	GB
PHI (7-7)	1	Hou (10-4)			Hou	Phi
Atl (5-9)	3½	CAR (6-8)			Atl	Car
LAR (11-3)	14	ARIZ (3-11)			Ariz	LA
Chi (10-4)	4	SF (4-10)			SF	SF
NO (12-2)	5½	Pit (8-5-1)			NO	Pit
	Sun. Nite
KC (11-3)	2½	SEA (8-6)			Sea	Sea
	Mon. Nite
Den (6-8)	3	OAK (3-11)			Oak	Oak
				Week 15	7-8-1	7-8-1
					0.467	0.467
				Season	125-96-5	107-114-5
					0.566	0.484
				Lock Total	9	9

All of our thoughts and observations can be heard here:

NFL 2018 Week #16

2018 Week #15

This show was special for Jas and me, as I got to play him some clips from the Pro Football Focus podcast that really sounded a lot like points that we have made on our previous shows.  So we're getting more legit by the minute, it seems.  That's sarcasm, by the way.  But it was definitely a kick to hear some people who make a living breaking down and analyzing football making the same observations that we (and a caller to our show) have made.  Makes you feel like you're doing something right, and who doesn't like that feeling?  I should have felt good about calling the Chargers pick Thursday night, but the awful refereeing took away from it.  As for the rest of Week 15, six games have Jay and me on opposite sides, including me going against his Lock on Monday.  Here are our picks:

Fav	Spread	Dog	Final		Dre	Jay
	Thu. Nite
KC (11-2)	3½	LAC (10-3)	LA 29-28		LA	KC
	Saturday
Hou (9-4)	7	NYJ (4-9)			Hou	Hou
	Sat. Nite
DEN (6-7)	2½	Cle (5-7-1)			Den	Cle
	Sunday
CHI (9-4)	5½	GB (5-7-1)			Chi	GB
ATL (4-9)	10	Ariz (3-10)			Ariz	Ariz
MIN (6-6-1)	7½	Mia (7-6)			Min	Mia
JACK (4-9)	7½	Wash (6-7)			Jack	Jack
CIN (5-8)	3	Oak (3-10)			Cin	Cin
BAL (7-6)	7½	TB (5-8)			Bal	Bal
BUF (4-9)	2½	Det (5-8)			Buf	Buf
Tenn (7-6)	1	NYG (5-8)			NY	Tenn
IND (7-6)	3	Dal (8-5)			Dal	Ind
Sea (8-5)	3½	SF (3-10)			SF	SF
NE (9-4)	2½	PIT (7-5-1)			NE	NE
	Sun. Nite
LAR (11-2)	13	Phi (6-7)			LA	Phi
	Mon. Nite
NO (11-2)	6½	CAR (6-7)			Car	NO
				Week 14	8-8	8-8
					0.500	0.500
				Season	118-88-4	100-106-4
					0.573	0.485
				Lock Total	9	9

All of our thoughts and observations can be heard here:

NFL 2018 Week #15

2018 Week #14

I can't recall a week with an entire early afternoon block where Jason and I agree on all the picks, but that's what happened for this week.  Right on down the line we had the same pick for all the early Sunday games and didn't start to disagree until the late games and the two night games.  Jay is hoping that he takes me down and facilitates my first really bad week of the season, because my percentage takes a much bigger battering than his if we both stink it out.  I'm hoping to bring him up to my level and keep my fantastic season going.  Did I mention that I'm 2nd out of 1,654 fan handicappers on nflpickwatch.com?  And that I'm better than all of their "experts" this year?  Perhaps I can be an expert next season, lol.  Here are our picks for Week 14, where we go head-to-head on five games, not counting the Derrick Henry showcase game Thursday:

Fav	Spread	Dog	Final		Dre	Jay
	Thu. Nite
TENN (6-6)	4	Jack (4-8)	Tenn 30-9		Tenn	Jack
	Sunday
GB (4-7-1)	4	Atl (4-8)			GB	GB
NO (10-2)	10	TB (5-7)			NO	NO
Car (6-6)	1	CLE (4-7-1)			Cle	Cle
BUF (4-8)	3½	NYJ (3-9)			Buf	Buf
KC (10-2)	6	Bal (7-5)			KC	KC
NYG (4-8)	3½	WASH (6-6)			NY	NY
HOU (9-3)	4½	Ind (6-6)			Hou	Hou
NE (9-3)	7½	MIA (6-6)			NE	NE
LAC (9-3)	14	Cin (5-7)			LA	LA
Den (6-6)	3½	SF (2-10)			SF	SF
Pit (7-4-1)	10½	OAK (2-10)			Pit	Oak
DAL (7-5)	3½	Phi (6-6)			Dal	Phi
Det (4-8)	2½	ARIZ (3-9)			Ariz	Det
	Sun. Nite
LAR (11-1)	3	CHI (8-4)			Chi	LA
	Mon. Nite
SEA (7-5)	3	Min (6-5-1)			Min	Sea
				Week 13	11-5	9-7
					0.688	0.563
				Season	110-80-4	92-98-4
					0.579	0.484
				Lock Total	9	8

All of our thoughts and observations can be heard here:

NFL 2018 Week #14

2018 Week #13

Jason and I will do battle on seven picks this weekend, not counting my upset pick of the Cowboys over the Saints Thursday.  But we decided to do a sorta deep dive on this year's Rock & Roll Hall of Fame nominees in our aftershow, because that's what we felt like doing.  We also had plenty of opinions and hot takes concerning this year's Ray Rice Slap-a-Hoe Tribe member, Kareem Hunt.  As always, we spray to all fields and we spit the truth whether it's PC or not, but if you've been listening, you already know that.  Here's the NFL picks ATS for Week 13:

Fav	Spread	Dog	Final		Dre	Jay
	Thu. Nite
NO (10-1)	7	DAL (6-5)	Dal 13-10		Dal	NO
	Sunday
ATL (4-7)	2½	Bal (6-5)			Bal	Bal
Den (5-6)	5	CIN (5-6)			Den	Den
Car (6-5)	3	TB (4-7)			TB	TB
Chi (8-3)	3½	NYG (3-8)			NY	NY
MIA (5-6)	3½	Buf (4-7)			Buf	Mia
LAR (10-1)	10½	DET (4-7)			Det	Det
GB (4-6-1)	14	Ariz (2-9)			Ariz	GB
HOU (8-3)	5½	Cle (4-6-1)			Hou	Hou
Ind (6-5)	3½	JACK (3-8)			Ind	Jack
TENN (5-6)	9½	NYJ (3-8)			NY	NY
KC (9-2)	15½	OAK (2-9)			Oak	KC
NE (8-3)	5	Min (6-4-1)			NE	Min
SEA (6-5)	10	SF (2-9)			Sea	SF
	Sun. Nite
PIT (7-3-1)	3	LAC (8-3)			Pit	Pit
	Mon. Nite
PHI (5-6)	6½	Wash (6-5)			Wash	Phi
				Week 12	8-7	7-8
					0.533	0.467
				Season	99-75-4	83-89-4
					0.576	0.483
				Lock Total	8	8

All of our thoughts and observations can be heard here:

NFL 2018 Week #13