Scott Norwood

Scott Norwood
Wide Right started it all.

Sunday, August 5, 2018

2018 NFL Hall of Infamy Inductions

As cool as it was for me, still a Bears fan, to see Brian Urlacher get inducted into the NFL Hall of Fame, I couldn't help but think about the situations surrounding him that would not get the attention it deserved on this stage.  The fact that he's going in with way more hair now than he had in his playing days runs counter to, oh, every other player in history.  The story behind his son, who looks very much out of place next to his much paler sisters and his dad's wife, is the stuff of gossip columns and bar chats, but it won't get covered by ESPN.  But we here at In Much Less Detail are always proud to pick up the slack and immortalize what the mainstream would rather forget.  In that vein, here are my entries for this year's IMLD Hall of Fame/Hall of Infamy.  In no particular order:


  • The Tools of T.O. - The Objects That Helped Make Terrell Owens A Household Name.  I'm no stranger to carving out space in our Hall for inanimate objects that tell a story about a real-life Hall of Famer.  I'm the guy that welcomed in Brett Favre's memorabilia from his pursuit of Jenn Sterger to show what kind of guy he really was.  Well, with T.O. going in on the merits of his career, I chased down every bit of material I could to show what kind of self-aggrandizing diva he was the whole time.  No one put props to work quite like Terrell Owens.  The man who once proclaimed "I love me some me!" loved him some spotlight, so here's a comprehensive list of items that I need donated for our Hall of Infamy that helped him grab attention over the years: The Dallas midfield star from old Texas Stadium, where Owens ran and posed as a 49er after two TD catches on Sept. 24, 2000...The Sharpie that he used to autograph a ball that he caught for a TD at Seattle on Oct. 14, 2002, a ball that he caught over DB Shawn Springs, a ball that he gave to his financial adviser who also happened to be the financial adviser of Shawn Springs...The pompoms he grabbed from a cheerleader and shook to cheer himself after catching a TD on Dec. 15, 2002...Donovan McNabb's barf, widely rumored to be all over the field during Super Bowl 39 on Feb. 6, 2005, while Owens on a busted ankle against doctors' orders was balling for the Eagles with nine catches for 122 yards...Concrete from his driveway where Owens chose to do sit-ups shirtless in front of cameras and reporters on Aug. 10, 2005, in lieu of answering questions about why the Eagles and then-coach Andy Reid had suspended him... The empty bottle of hydrocodone that Owens allegedly poured into his mouth in a suicide attempt on Sept. 27, 2006, leading to Hall of Infamy member Kim Etheredge denying the allegation by saying that Owens had "25 million reasons why he should be alive"...The bag of popcorn he grabbed from a fan as a member of the Cowboys after scoring on Nov. 30, 2007...and finally, those big-ass megasized sunglasses Owens wore after a playoff loss to the Giants on Jan. 13, 2007.  Of course, Owens wore those to hide his watery eyes as he defended criticism of Cowboys QB Tony Romo, who (gasp!) vacationed during the previous bye week and therefore clearly was in no condition to play football or something.  T.O.'s sobbing quote as he says of Romo, "That's my teammate, that's my quarterback" is itself Hall of Infamy worthy.

  • Aaron Hernandez - Tight End - New England Patriots.  Infamous for:  Having a very successful career with the preeminent franchise in the league interrupted by some pesky murder charges and ultimately pulling a Lawrence Phillips.  It's truly amazing to think about how successful Hernandez was at every level of football, all while being an unrepentant criminal running wild through anyone in his way.  The guy had a 376-yd. receiving game in high school, he helped Florida to a national title and was the best TE in all of college, winning the John Mackey Award in 2009, and as a Patriot, he tag teamed with Rob Gronkowski to create the most productive TE tandem the sport has ever seen.  But Hernandez had many well-documented run-ins with the law dating back to his reign of terror at Florida, including accusations of multiple shootings that didn't rise to the level of putting him behind bars thanks to his attorneys.  It all finally caught up on June 26, 2013, when Hernandez was arrested for the murder of Odin Lloyd, and the Pats cut him later that same day.  He was found guilty in 2015 and was sentenced to life without parole.  But because he was on such a rampage, there would be another double-murder for him to stand trial against.  Hernandez was acquitted on those charges on April 14, 2017, and in an odd celebration, decided to hang himself five days later.  That act ended the reign of terror of one of the most infamous stars the NFL has ever had.  He was only 27 when he offed himself, yet Aaron Hernandez had forever made an imprint on the lives of anyone who saw him play, and unfortunately, anyone who came across him off the field.

  • "Hello?  You play to win the game!"

This entrant into the Jim Mora Wing of quotes is an all-timer.  Herm Edwards, who had an infamous playing career thanks to the Pisarcik Play, was in the midst of an infamous coaching career with the New York Jets.  After a loss to the Browns, the Jets were 2-5 in 2002, and a reporter asked Herm about getting something out of the losses since they couldn't, you know, get the win.  And Herm proceeded to emotionally let everyone know what the point of playing is supposed to be.  It's been quoted many times since, in commercials, as the title of Edwards' book, on talk shows, and here at IMLD countless times.  I even named my fantasy team after the quote once, and an asshole in the league named Jimbo referred to me as "You Gay To Win The Game," which I'm sure he thought was incredibly clever but just made me roll my eyes.  An interesting sidenote about Herm's rant is that Gang Green rallied to win seven of nine and take the AFC East title, so maybe the squad listened and took the speech to heart?  We still laugh at crazy ol' Herm today, but it looks like he's had the last laugh all along.


  • Sam Hurd - Wide Receiver - Dallas Cowboys, mostly.  Infamous for:  Creating a wholesome image while running a drug cartel.  I link to Sam Hurd's Wiki but also to a very in-depth piece by SI's Michael McKnight that contains lots of fascinating details about Hurd's double life and the night he was busted in an undercover operation at Morton's, an upscale Chicago steakhouse.  Hurd was a nondescript 4th or 5th WR with the Cowboys for a few years before signing with the Chicago Bears in 2011.  But he never got the chance to make a real impact on the field for the Bears.  Like Aaron Hernandez, those pesky things we call laws got in the way of his playing career.  Hurd was known to outsiders as the guy you'd want an athlete to be--hard-working, humble, quiet, married to his college sweetheart, religious tattoos, staying out of trouble.  What people didn't see was the high-grade marijuana addiction that led to him becoming the conduit between the good weed and many players and teammates.  In 2011, Hurd was experiencing free agency and the NFL lockout, and he decided to branch out his drug purchasing power to include kilos of cocaine.  Whether it was his idea or someone else's, ultimately Hurd walked into that Morton's and walked out with a brick of coke in a bag, and was immediately arrested as part of a federal sting operation.  The evidence had him looking at a life sentence, but in 2013 he got a mere 15 years.  But Hurd's name is forever in the mud as the guy who made it to the highest football league in the world and then got mixed up with Mexican drug movers.  As the SI piece's headline says, Sam Hurd wound up breaking real bad.
And with that, we're done!  Wait, that's only four inductions.  So...we're not done?  Well, here's a word from a sponsor (NOT affiliated with IMLD in any way) while I figure out a way to finish this year's inductions...


  • "Now I'm done!"  Now we can declare this year's Hall of Infamy inductions complete.  Ever since the awful Brady Quinn filmed this spot for some supplement company, Jay and I have not stopped laughing.  Think about it: A 1st-round pick of the Cleveland Browns (sorry, Browns fans, but your team really needs to stop taking shitty QBs in the 1st round) who put up a passer rating of 67.2 in his only full year as a starter has the nerve to release a commercial suggesting that his training in order to produce that feces didn't stop until he took that supplement?  You'd think the company wouldn't want it suggested that their product was the last thing Quinn ingested before he took the field.  So for over a decade now, the running gag has been to declare "Now I'm done" when one of us has finished ranting or yapping about a topic or doing something not particularly skillful, as a way to joke about how it must feel to be a guy supremely proud of his failures, blissfully unaware of how ridiculous he sounds.  But Quinn has one lasting legacy besides this induction into the Jim Mora Wing:  "Now I'm done" is, according to the all-knowing source of information Urbandictionary.com, what guys are supposed to yell after nailing a chick.  They even use it in a sentence: "Dude I fucked the hell out of Andrea last night and totally Brady Quinned her!!"  And do you think Quinn takes more pride in that or his actual NFL career?  I rest my case.  Or should I say...ah, you know the rest.

And that's the 8th annual NFL Hall of Infamy inductions.  To hear the induction show, find In Much Less Detail: The Podcast wherever you find podcasts and subscribe, or just click here: IMLD's 2018 Hall of Infamy Induction Show.  As always, thanks for reading!

Sunday, February 4, 2018

Super Duper Bowl LII

Here is the last pick of this season, the no-frills, no-sizzle Super Bowl between the Patriots and the Eagles.  Both of us have the same pick versus the spread, so there's not much sizzle there, either.  But we do see the outcome of the game differently.

Fav Spread Dog Final Dre Jay
NE (15-3) Phi (15-3) Minneapolis, MN Phi Phi
108.1 102.9
Last Week +8 +4
=116.1 =106.9
All of our thoughts and observations can be heard here:

Super Duper Bowl LII

Sunday, January 21, 2018

2018 Conf. Finals

Championship Sunday is here, and I knew Jason had to disagree with me on at least one pick in order to compete for our picks title, so I was confident that he would take Jacksonville and differ with me in the Vikings-Eagles game no matter what.  He's been clear about thinking that the Jags would give the Pats the best fight out of all the teams left in the playoffs, so I thought he would be all in on them.  But it turns out he trusts Minnesota more to beat Philly than he does the Jaguars.  He said if I took Minny, he would have agreed and flipped to the Patriots.  So he's going with his true gut pick in the Vikings, which scares me because I'm going with my true instinct in taking the Eagles, and that hasn't worked much for me this postseason.  Here are our picks and current points standings:

Fav Spread Dog Final Dre Jay
NE (14-3) Jack (12-6) NE 24-20 Jack Jack
Min (14-3) 3    PHI (14-3) Phi 38-7 Phi Min
105.1 96.9
Last Week +3 +6
=108.1 =102.9
All of our thoughts and observations can be heard here:


NFL 2018 Conf. Finals

Saturday, January 13, 2018

2018 Conf. Semis

Another show, another issue with connectivity with BlogTalk Radio.  It's so frustrating.  I don't have any smart lead-in to our playoff picks, just letting you know that Jason, in trying to catch me in our playoff points race, has changed his pick in the Jags-Steelers matchup.  He originally went with Pittsburgh, but after learning we had the same four picks this week, he changed to the Jaguars in order to have more flexibility in picking the Conference Finals.  So with that in mind, here are our picks for the Divisional Round:

Fav Spread Dog Final Dre Jay
Saturday
Atl (11-6) 3    PHI (13-3) Atl Atl
Sat. Nite
NE (13-3) 13    Tenn (10-7) NE NE
Sunday
PIT (13-3) 7    Jack (11-6) Pit Jack
MIN (13-3) 5    NO (11-5) NO NO
103.1 92.9
+2 +4
=105.1 =96.9


All of our thoughts and observations can be heard here:

NFL 2018 Divisional Round

Saturday, January 6, 2018

2018 Wild Card

Wild Card Weekend is upon us, and we know you the NFL fan can't wait because neither can we.  And in this postseason full of new teams and new faces, Jason and I start with three games where we do battle.  He's trying to take an early chunk out of my lead in playoff points.  And how did we determine playoff points, you ask?  Simple:  Take our season percentages, multiply by 200, and that's the number of points we each start with.  From there, it's 2 points for each Wild Card win, 3 points in the Conference Semis, 4 points in the Conf. Finals, and a big 5 points for picking the Super Bowl correctly.  I begin with an 11-point advantage as the playoffs kick off:

Fav Spread Dog Final Dre Jay
Saturday
KC (10-6) Tenn (9-7) KC Tenn
Sat. Nite
LAR (11-5) Atl (10-6) Atl LA
Sunday
JACK (10-6) 9    Buf (9-7) Jack Jack
NO (11-5) Car (11-5) NO Car
Season 123-118-15 112-129-15
0.510 0.465
Lock Total 8 6
x200 x200
Playoff Points 102.1 92.9
Lock Bonus +1 +0
103.1 92.9
Scoring System
Wild Card 2 pts. each
Conf. Semis 3 pts. each
Conf. Finals 4 pts. each
Super Bowl 5 pts.


All of our thoughts and observations can be heard here:

NFL 2017 Wild Card

Friday, January 5, 2018

Fun With Numbers: Playoff Teams w/ Elite or Subpar Offense or Defense

I got bored and started looking at some numbers the last couple of days.  I think it has something to do with how wide open I continue to think the NFL is going into this year's playoffs, and I decided to see if I could find a betting edge to sort out the teams.  I'm always harping on my favorite stats, yards per rush and yards per throw, so I decided to see if there was any importance to those numbers.  I set out to see if the squads over the years with the explosive offenses have had more success, or maybe it's the ones with the stifling defenses, and I also wanted to see if the teams that make the playoffs despite averages that are below the norm get bounced very quickly.  These things should work out the way one thinks, but I wanted to know what the numbers say, just to be sure.  I'm not trying to hype my findings as far off the expectations, but I did find a couple of trends that you may be able to use when deciding where you're laying your cash.

I used the regular season stats dating back to 2009, so that's eight years of data, and I came up with the following terms to decide what's a top or bottom offense or defense:  Since an average run game always seems to be around four YPC and an average passing attack around seven YPA, I labeled teams at 3½ YPC or less as an Elite run D or Subpar run O.  4½ YPC or more makes you an Elite run O or Subpar run D.  6½ YPA makes you an Elite pass D or Subpar Pass O.  7½ YPA makes you an Elite pass O or Subpar Pass D.  Got it?  If a team was in between those numbers, then they didn't show up on my chart in that specific field, so if a team was so vanilla that they didn't have what I defined as an Elite or Subpar offense or defense, they didn't make the chart at all.  From there, I slotted teams who fit these criteria and saw how they did SU and ATS for that year's playoffs.  For example, this is what the chart looked like for the 2009 season showing how those teams fared in the 2010 playoffs, including the Super Bowl:

                 Elite                                                                       Subpar
Run O 4.5+ Run D 3.5- Pass O 7.5+ Pass D 6.5- Run O 3.5- Run D 4.5+ Pass O 6.5- Pass D 7.5+

Bal Bal
SU/ATS 1-1/1-1 1-1/1-1
Ind Ind Ind
2-1/2-1 2-1/2-1 2-1/2-1
SD SD SD
0-1/0-1 0-1/0-1 0-1/0-1
Dal Dal
1-1/1-1 1-1/1-1
Phi Phi
0-1/0-1 0-1/0-1
NYJ NYJ
2-1/2-1 2-1/2-1
NO NO NO
3-0/2-1 3-0/2-1 3-0/2-1
Ariz
1-1/1-1
GB GB
0-1/0-1 0-1/0-1
Min
1-1/2-0
NE
0-1/0-1
Total 7-3/6-4 1-1/1-1 7-7/7-7 4-4/4-4 2-2/2-2 4-2/3-3


As you can see, there was hardly any separation in that year between the Elite and Subpar teams.  But a look deeper can reveal some eye-raising outcomes.  The Saints rode an Elite running attack by the committee of Pierre Thomas, Mike Bell, and Reggie Bush, and a typical Elite passing attack by Drew Brees to a Super Bowl title, ignoring the Subpar run defense.  So no surprise, an Elite offense can go a long way.  The Cardinals won a playoff game despite also having a Subpar rush D, so does that mean the adage of defense winning championships is BS?  That's a small sample size to use to arrive there, but it's something I watched as I crafted charts for every year up to today, and no, I won't show you all of them.  I'll spare you the gory numbers.  It's also worth noting from '09 just how many teams made the playoffs with Elite passing games as opposed to running.  That's another legend people like to believe, including me:  Ya gotta run the rock to survive in the postseason.  Well, maybe you do, but not at an Elite level.  So after all the charts for the past eight years, here's the breakdown for each category:

Elite Run O Elite Run D Elite Pass O Elite Pass D
SU 23-25 11-7 54-46 29-19
ATS 24-24 10-8 51-47-2 29-18-1
Subpar Run O Subpar Run D Subpar Pass O Subpar Pass D
6-4 26-24 4-6 13-14
6-4 26-23-1 5-5 13-14


Again, I'm blown away by how many more teams are in the playoffs by having high-powered passing attacks ahead of anything else, but that's not why I did these charts.  I don't really care how a team made the field, I'm just trying to see if there's a particular style of team that's more deserving of a play when picking the games.  Are there any edges?  From what I see, a team with an Elite run and pass D is rare and it wins at a high percentage (8-3), though they're not a lock ATS (6-5).  High-powered offenses can get tripped up, though.  Teams with the combo of Elite running and throwing games don't fare so well, going 14-14 SU and only 12-16 vs. the number.  That's actually a worse percentage than the teams that have Subpar run and throw defenses, which are 7-6, though that's skewed by the unlikely 4-0 run that the 2011 Giants went on.  The Patriots won two playoff games that same year with a Subpar overall D, so six of the seven wins came that year.  Speaking of Eli Manning, another anomaly:  The only two teams to win any playoff games at all in this eight-year stretch while carrying a Subpar running offense are Eli's G-Men and the '09 Colts, with QB Peyton Manning, who lost the Super Bowl to the Saints.  So while having an Elite running game may be overrated, you can't overcome a Subpar running game without a Manning at the helm.

Other trends I noticed:

  • By far, the best bet is on the team with the Elite pass defense.  That .617 percentage ATS is hard to ignore, though it's mostly boosted by the Legion of Boom-era Seahawks, the rival '49ers from '12 and '13, and the magical run by Aaron Rodgers and the 2010 Packers.  Remember when they could play defense?
  • There was only one Perfectly Elite team, i.e. one team that was elite in all four categories:  The '14 Seahawks.  That's the team that should have won the title except for Darrell Bevell ignoring his Elite RB Marshawn Lynch with one yard to go for a TD, instead going with his Elite QB Russell Wilson, who threw the INT to lose it.  The lesson, now as it was then, is, if you're going to lose with a yard to go, lose with your RB.  Don't put it in the fucking air where anyone can grab it.
  • There were three teams with Elite or Subpar numbers (remember, "normal" teams aren't listed, so some champs aren't accounted for) that made perfect runs SU and ATS through the playoffs:  the '10 Pack, the '11 Giants, and the '16 Patriots.  (The '09 Saints won it all but went 2-1 against the number.)  The obvious:  All of those four teams had Elite passers.  The surprise:  All but one (NE) also had Subpar rush defenses!  It doesn't matter if you can't stop the run, which correlates to the next item.
  • Throw out the advantage of facing a bad run defense.  As you can see above, they're over .500 SU and ATS.  I actually have a theory on that:  Remember that playoff game when Herm Edwards took 2,000-yard rusher Larry Johnson and the Chiefs into Indianapolis and refused to rely on him even though the Colts were a bad run D, and Indy won?  I think coaches and coordinators get scared if their running game doesn't tear into the opposition right off the bat because they don't want to get eliminated without going to the air and going for the big chunk plays.  And they ignore the fact that most teams don't tear into an opponent on the ground early in a playoff game because the D is so jacked up.  If those coaches would just stick with the plan and grind it out, they may succeed more, but like ol' Herm, they get antsy and start looking for more and more big bombs from the QB, whether the QB is any good or not.  Something to consider if the Titans or Jags start slow on the ground.  Speaking of this year's playoff teams, here's how my little chart sets up for them:

Run O 4.5+ Run D 3.5- Pass O 7.5+ Pass D 6.5- Run O 3.5- Run D 4.5+ Pass O 6.5-

Pass D 7.5+

Phi Phi
NO NO
KC KC
LAR LAR
NE NE
Min Min
Atl
Pit
Buf
Jack


Here we see a couple of teams with Elite overall offenses in the Saints and Chiefs.  It's been a while since Drew Brees led such a potent offense, but we can see what happened when he did in 2009.  As for KC, Alex Smith led some teams in SF to the playoffs, but they didn't become an Elite passing group until that 2012 season when Colin Kaepernick took over halfway through.  We'll see how Smith fares this time with his own Elite passing game.  There are no Elite total defenses, but all three Elite passing Ds should be tough outs.  It's too bad that the Eagles could have came in with an Elite QB to buttress that Elite passing defense, as Minnesota will, but Carson Wentz won't be there.  Will Nick Foles join the infamous list of substitute QBs who get embarrassed in the playoffs, along with Ryan Lindley and Connor Cook?  As for the Bills making the postseason despite a Subpar passing game, they can look to two teams that won playoff games with crappy throwing:  The '10 Seahawks, who had home field advantage as 7-9 division champions and rode that and the birth of Beast Mode to an upset of the Saints, and last year's Texans, who were also at home and lucky enough to catch the Raiders without Derek Carr at QB and with the aforementioned Cook.  Buffalo isn't at home and won't be playing a backup QB, so they should not pose a problem for the Jags.

I hope you enjoyed my offbeat fun with numbers, and hopefully you spot a trend or two that helps your wallet this postseason and in the future.

Tuesday, January 2, 2018

2017-18 What I Learned About Each Team In One Sentence

Cowboys--This team is as reliant on a few super-impact players as any in the league, and when Dez, Zeke, and Sean Lee aren't on, they're all the way off.
Eagles--They arrived a little earlier than many thought they would, but Philly is double tough defensively and fearless behind Carson Wentz on offense, and they will miss him dearly in the playoffs.
Giants--The Eli Manning Era should end so as to start fresh, but Eli doesn't seem ready to exit stage left.
Redskins--The soap opera "As Kirk Cousins Turns" seems to be stagnating the entire franchise, so they should decide once and for all and move forward.
Bears--A predictably drab season ended with the predictable John Fox shitcanning, and the occasional sparkle from Mitch Trubisky shouldn't have been surprising given his high draft selection.
Lions--Another above average campaign from Matt Stafford couldn't save a team that consistently has no running to complement him and no real hope of a title.
Packers--All hopes of contention were cracked along with Aaron Rodgers' clavicle, and it feels like he's returning to a squad next year whose window is closing fast.
Vikings--Mike Zimmer did a marvelous job uniting his team after last year's near-mutiny, and they stand poised as maybe the most complete contender in the postseason despite their QB.
Falcons--They're compelling because lost in the attempts to rekindle the flame of last year's record-setting offense was the further molding of the athletic defense in Dan Quinn's image.
Panthers--Revamped the offense on the fly and relied on Cam Newton's unparalleled QB-ur-bruising-RB style to win, though the field-wide pursuits on D by Luke Kuechly and Thomas Davis need praising.
Saints--Sean Payton's bend-but-make-game-changing-plays defense and double-headed RB tag team of Ingram and Kamara combined with the timeless Drew Brees make New Orleans as well-rounded as their Super Bowl championship club.
Buccaneers--Dirk Koetter must figure out the mercurial Jameis Winston in order for Tampa Bay to fight for survival in their monstrous division.
Cardinals--The defense kept its level as best it could, but Carson Palmer broke down one final time and Bruce Arians ran out of answers.
Rams--If Sean McVay can bottle whatever potion he used to turn Jared Goff into a decisive playmaker, then they can play with anybody, and if they have a lead, then Aaron Donald and Robert Quinn can pressure any opposition into mistakes.
49ers--Similar to the Rams, they need their genius Kyle Shanahan to keep molding his charge Jimmy Garoppolo into a winning QB and build from there.
Seahawks--Seems like the dynasty is collapsing thanks to injuries and attitude problems, and it may be fascinating to watch and see what measures Pete Carroll takes to stem the tide.
Bills--Never seen a team try to lose and win by accident anyway, which may make Buffalo the spotlight team in a season of pure zaniness.
Dolphins--Between the Cutler-for-Tannehill disaster and the dealing of Jay Ajayi after 1½ years, Miami doesn't seem to be going in the right direction, and Adam Gase will pay unless they turn it around drastically.
Patriots--They won so many games big after two months of their defense being atrocious in all phases that maybe they're just bulletproof and know how to prevail under any circumstances.
Jets--Such a lack of playmakers that everyone assumed they were tanking from the jump, so some credit goes to Todd Bowles and his coaches for getting really good efforts from them most of the year.
Ravens--Just slight enough tilting of their scales the wrong way from losing their shutdown CB Jimmy Smith, and Baltimore's mediocre ways lead them out of the playoffs.
Bengals--Amazing that Cincy proved a clear lack of stewardship from Marvin Lewis and yet ownership will allow it to happen all over again next season.
Browns--They fought their asses off all year, and the lack of talent shone through in each and every painful loss, so Hue Jackson staying after 0-16 is not even a hill to die on.
Steelers--The offense took time to come together and LeVeon Bell is well rested for the playoff run, but they're doomed without Ryan Shazier patrolling the middle.
Texans--What a stark contrast between Bill O'Brien having a confident, dynamic offense with DeShaun Watson at QB and no confidence with anyone else, and the D equally became rudderless after J.J Watt and Whitney Mercilus got hurt.
Colts--They competed behind Jacoby Brissett, but they failed as a team should when their crackpot owner leads them to believe that the franchise QB is right around the corner and he never comes into the room.
Jaguars--Part of the new blood rising in the NFL, they asserted a wicked QB-killing pass rush early and will make a dangerous playoff team even with inconsistent Leonard Fournette and Blake Bortles leading the O.
Titans--Mike Mularkey hasn't led Marcus Mariota to be any better this season and never figured out the right RB split between Derrick Henry and DeMarco Murray, so he may be finished despite the last-minute Wild Card berth.
Broncos--John Elway showed his lack of leadership when his assembled roster couldn't contend under new coach Vance Joseph, choosing to criticize the squad's "toughness" instead of asking himself why he trusted Trevor Siemian and Brock Osweiler to handle the offense.
Chiefs--A tale of two seasons as Alex Smith and rookie Kareem Hunt lit up the league early before crashing to Earth, leaving Kansas City to scramble to a division title and Andy Reid to dream up new ways to get the most out of his stars.
Raiders--Hard to contend when your secondary is trash, and your top draft pick CB can't get off the trainer's table, but Jack Del Rio's fate was sealed when Amari Cooper and Derek Carr took big steps back in their development.
Chargers--Under a less-than-ideal home stadium situation, credit old man Philip Rivers with connecting with his targets as the season wore on to make a run at a playoff spot and finish as the #1 passing offense in football.