Scott Norwood

Scott Norwood
Wide Right started it all.

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Week 14 ATS Recap: Picks Sick

Well, I had a built in excuse if there was a bad week of picks: the flu. But, since I ended up 9-6-1, I can now say I gutted out a tough week of picks and prevailed. Changing the commentary based on the result may seem a bit convenient, but if it works for major sports media, why can't it work for the little guys too?

  • Colts 30, Titans 28 (Thursday Night) - Both losers - The Titans passed up an opportunity with :32 remaining to kick a quick field goal and attempt the onside kick to maybe, you know, TRY TO WIN THE GAME. They opted instead to kill all the remaining time and score the ultimate meaningless touchdown with no time left and produce a spread covering two point margin. This left even me, in no way a degenerate gambler, to ponder whether this was a sports move motivated by Vegas. Where's Tim Donaghy when we need him?
  • Falcons 31, Panthers 10 - Both winners - When presented with an opponent they should crush, Atlanta has been fairly reliable ATS this season. We didn't expect that the Panthers would present that trend much of a challanege. They didn't.
  • Pittsburgh 9+14 Carson Palmer Points, Bengals 7 - Dre winner, Jason loser - It's hard to win, much less cover the spread, when your quarterback is playing for both teams.
  • Lions 7, Packers 3 - Both losers - Easily the most unbearable game of the year to watch. Drew Stanton outdueled Matt Flynn in a colossal bore of a football game. Aaron Rodgers better shake off the cobwebs real quick, or the season is over for Green Bay.
  • Jaguars 38, Raiders 31 - Jason winner, Dre loser - Thanks to the Oakland defense for allowing MJD to scamper 30 yards for a very late game winning TD when a field goal would have won it, and that same field goal would have lost me the pick.
  • Buccaneers 17, Redskins 16 - PUSH - Yeah, we didn't win the pick, but it was awesome watching my favorite coach in football have to lose a game on a missed snap on a PAT. Christmas came early.
  • Bills 13, Browns 6 - Both winners - Never thought we'd see the day that picking a Ryan Fitzpatrick helmed team would be a surer bet than a Jake Delhomme helmed team.
  • Niners 40, Seahawks 21 - Both losers - Indeed we were caught in a trap, and we couldn't walk out. The beauty of an Elvis game is that you just know you are going to lose it.
  • Patriots 36, Bears 7 - Both winners - I was high on New England ATS the whole week. Once I learned that the same blizzard that was socking me here in Wisconsin was going to hit Chicago the next day, my high turned into love. We don't pat ourselves on the back much here at IMLD, but this was the lock of all locks, and watching it unfold was pure joy. Sure, all these picks are equal in the standings, but for just three snowy hours in Chicago, all was right in the universe. By the way: the Bears ARE who we thought they were.
  • Dolphins 10, Jets 6 - Both winners - The hangover of getting manhandled by the Pats the week before must have stayed with the Jets the entire week. This is looking more like the overconfident, underwhelming Jets team that started the season and not the midseason juggernaut they turned into. They better recapture that midseason form, or the Mark Sanchez Experience may be much shorter than we thought.
  • Cardinals 43, Broncos 13 - Jason winner, Dre loser - Clearly the miraculous midseason coaching change tactic isn't as surefire as it looked. The John Skelton (WHO?) led Cards could have scored 80 if they hadn't relied on what seemed like 9 Jay Feely field goals. Actually, it was 6 Feely field goals to go along with his rushing touchdown on a fake field goal, making Feely the greatest single game fantasy kicker of all time. What's more disgusting: that the 49ers saved their playoff chances, or that the 4-9 Cards still have a chance to WIN THE DIVISION?
  • Chargers 31, Chiefs 0 - Jason winner, Dre loser - When I informed Dre that the Chefs were starting o-for-his-career Brody Croyle, he still wanted to pick KC. I didn't argue.
  • Eagles 30, Cowboys 27 - Jason winner, Dre loser - Did I believe the Cowboys would win? No. Did I believe I would jinx myself trying to look slick and take the 3-and-a-hook line? Yep. Thanks, backdoor hook cover!
  • Ravens 34, Texans 27 (OT) - Both winners - Honestly, I was in bed thinking this pick was all locked up. Hey, I was still recovering from being sick, OK? So when I woke up to see that the game was close and even went to OT, I was glad to see that Matt Schaub saved us a push by throwing a convenient pick-6!
  • Giants 21, Vikings 3 - Both losers - As the Metrodome served as a metaphor for Brett Favre's final season, his Vikings played as deflated as their home turf. The Giants pass rush was too much for Tavaris Jackson (how would it have been to see Favre back there, purple hand and all), and the Giant rushing attack ripped long gainers when they needed them to propel the G-men to a much easier than even the score indicated victory.

After giving up all the hard earned games I fought for the last several weeks, Dre just about handed them all right back:

Jason 9-6-1

Dre 6-9-1

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